Iphone success/failure

The iphone will be a huge sucess because:
1. It's oh-so-sexy
2. It's a ipod+phone+internet tablet
3. It's a great price
1. 8GB nano=$249, smartphone=$400, internet tablet (Nokia N800)=400 total=$1049
2. Iphone is only 599
4. It'll sync flawlessly
5. It's from Apple
The Iphone will be a huge failure because:
1. It's gonna scratch and break like crazy
2. It's has no keyboard
3. It's way too expensive ($599 and a two year contract!?!)
4. No third party developer support (Palm + Windows mobile have great support)
5. It's only a 2.5G device, data rates will be horrible
My Prediction:

The iphone, when launched, will look different than what was presented. They will either lower the price, increase the storage or announce a huge number of sexy features to insure it's competitive. I don't know if they will win 2% of the worldwide cell phone business in the first 12 months but they will sell enough to declare it a success


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